Thursday, August 30, 2012

ON A KNIFE EDGE

The markets sold off today on some less than inspiring economic news and lowered expectations of what Ben Bernanke may or may not say tomorrow.  The Dow sold off to the psychologically important 13,000 level and the S&P fell to the 1200 level.  The 1200 level is both psychologically and technically important.  A breach below this level would set the stage for lower prices.  The low volatility that has characterized this market over the last couple of weeks was interrupted today and we may well have another volatile day tomorrow as Bernanke provides clues as to the Fed's thinking.  While many expect nothing to be done tomorrow, the contrarian in me wonders...  We'll know tomorrow.  Bernanke may well want to wait to survey the upcoming jobs report before the next scheduled FOMC meeting in two weeks.  If the Fed is going to announce any new measures, the September meeting would be the logical time as October gets even more politicized.  Again, we'll see.  We are watching closely and will make appropriate portfolio adjustments as the market dictates.

2 comments:

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