For some
perspective on the post-financial crisis rally, today's chart
illustrates how much of the downturn that occurred as a result of the
financial crisis has been retraced by each of the five major stock
market indexes. For example, the Dow peaked at 14,164.53 back in
October 9, 2007 and troughed at 6,547.05 back on March 9, 2009. The
most recent close for the Dow is 13,954.42 -- it has retraced 97.2% of
its financial crisis bear market decline. As today's chart illustrates,
each of these five major stock market indices have retraced over 90% of
their financial crisis decline. However, it is the S&P 400
(mid-cap stocks), the tech-laden Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 (small-cap
stocks) that have recouped all the losses incurred during the financial
crisis and currently trade higher than their 2007 credit bubble peak. The takeaway - losing money is bad! It has taken over five years to recover from the losses incurred in 2007/2008 and a big reason why Bills Asset Management strives to avoid losses and manage risk.
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